Concurring Statement of Cmmr. Conlon

SUMMARY OF

COMMISSIONER P. GREGORY CONLON'S COMMENTS

REGARDING ELECTRIC RESTRUCTURING

MADE AT THE COMMISSION'S MEETINGS OF

DECEMBER 20, 1995 AND JANUARY 10, 1996

JANUARY, 1996

INTRODUCTION

This order is the next step on the road to competition in the generation of electric power. Our primary objective is to create a regulatory structure that allows competition to substitute for regulation and to reduce California's electric rates which are currently 150% above the national average. This order states our intention that no later than January 1, 1998 customers of California's investor-owned electric utilities can start to choose their own electric generation supplier. This customer choice would be offered immediately to a cross-section of customers during a one-year period, and then, subject to any technical limitations, within no later than 5 years all customers would have the ability to choose.

Although the Commission's vote on December 20th was not unanimous, it still signified widespread agreement among all Commissioners that California needs to promote competition. This competition should provide long-term rate reductions and give customers greater choices. Reviewing both orders side-by-side reveals that we are in agreement on probably 90% of the issues before us. These include the desirability of customer choice, the need to address market power issues, the need to preserve the existing utility's financial integrity, and the need to continue worthwhile public purpose programs.

What we differed on, is "how fast do we get there?" With the proposed clarifications that I issued to the decision on December 29, 1995 through an Assigned Commissioner's Ruling (ACR) that was adopted by the Commission on January 10, 1996, the position of my two dissenting colleagues appears to be very close to that of the majority decision. The majority order still goes further towards promoting competition than in any other state or jurisdiction. The order lays out a minimum framework to phase-in and increase competition over time.

Our decision builds upon our May, 1995 decision on this issue. It also incorporates the input of a wide variety of parties to our proceedings. It recognizes the advance in thinking that was developed in a Memorandum of Understanding submitted to the Commission by Southern California Edison, the California Manufacturers' Association, Independent Energy Producers, and others (known as the MOU parties) regarding market structure. It also incorporates suggestions made by a widespread coalition of consumer, environmental, and business groups that provided a "framework" to deal with restructuring issues (known as the framework parties). The contribution of both of these groups, as well as the thoughtful comments of others, have been incorporated into our decision. We look forward to continued input from all parties as we move towards implementation.

After the widespread power outages that resulted from the early December's storms in Northern California, I want to reiterate that in our decision we are not deregulating transmission and distribution (T&D). The poles, wires, and transformers will continue to be regulated by the Commission and subject to our service and safety standards.

I would like to briefly address what our order does in four key areas; market structure, transition costs, market power, and public purpose programs.

MARKET STRUCTURE

One of the major debates throughout our restructuring proceeding has been the discussion of the "Pool vs. Direct Access" debate. The majority decision issued in May suggested the creation of one centralized marketplace (known as the "pool") that would match the demand for energy with available supply and develop a single market-clearing price. The minority opinion advocated a "direct access" approach, where energy buyers would negotiate directly with energy suppliers.

Our decision adopts a hybrid approach to customer choice that was first proposed by the MOU parties; the simultaneous introduction of both a pool-like institution (called the Power Exchange) and Direct Access. Our decision would urge the creation of the following entities:

The decision recognizes what the MOU parties advocated, namely that the safe and reliable operation of the electric system (performed by the ISO) can be separated from the marketplace created to bring buyers and sellers together (the Power Exchange).

Participation in the Power Exchange is voluntary for all energy suppliers (such as out-of-state and municipal utilities) who are strongly encouraged to participate. Participation in the Power Exchange is mandatory for all power plants owned by the existing investor-owned utilities which are subject to CTC recovery. These utilities will bid in all generation and purchase all of their energy requirements out of the pool. The Power exchange price should serve as benchmark for reviewing the "reasonableness" of utility purchases thereby eliminating our traditional and time-consuming reasonableness reviews of utility operations. Over time, as the existing utilities divest themselves (through sale or spin-off) of up to 50% of their fossil-fueled generating plants (as discussed below in market structure), or as utility power plants undergo market valuation, the amount of energy purchases required to go through the Power Exchange will decrease.

CUSTOMER CHOICE

Key to our proposal is the concept of customer choice. Under the decision, customers can choose to:

Direct Access will be allowed immediately for a limited amount of customers for the first 12 months of our proposal, and then phased in for all customers, subject to technical constraints, in no later than 5 years. Real-time metering technology will be phased in for customers wanting or needing them in order to take advantage of direct access, CFDs, or just to receive real-time cost information for their energy usage. Meters are not mandatory except for the largest customers (large commercial and above). Residential and small commercial customers are not required to have real-time meters.

The phase-in and increased use of real-time meters should allow customers to better control their energy use, and could save them money if they are able to switch their energy usage to off-peak times (such as evenings and weekends) when energy costs are cheaper.

TRANSITION COSTS

"Transition costs" are the cost of utility investment and obligations made under our existing regulatory process which may be uneconomic, and unable to compete or be recovered in the competitive marketplace that we create today.

Our decision tries to balance the competing goals of ensuring recovery of prudently incurred past investments, minimizing rates, and ensuring that existing utilities do not have an unfair competitive advantage in the future marketplace that we are creating.

In order to solve these problems, we reaffirm our May decisions which created a Competition Transition Charge (CTC). The CTC reflects the above-market costs of our past regulatory requirements which must be collected during our transition to competition. In order to ensure that all parties are treated equally, we ensure that all customers, regardless of which energy supplier they choose, will pay the CTC charge. The CTC charge will be non-bypassable, and fairly paid for by all customer classes. Each customer choosing direct access will be required to sign a contract agreeing to pay his or her share of the CTC.

We also adopt several important CTC principles, namely 1) all CTC should be identified and put into the CTC account by the year 2003; CTC collection will end by the year 2005; and most importantly, collection of the CTC will result in rates to consumers being no higher than they are as of January 1, 1996 with no adjustment for inflation.

Our proposal adopts different treatment for different types of utility assets, consistent with the above principles:

Nuclear power plants

We plan to consider CTC recovery mechanisms for nuclear power plants similar to those currently being proposed for Southern California Edison's (SCE's) San Onofre Nuclear Generating Station (SONGS) in its pending General Rate Case. Similar treatment may be applied to SCE's share of the Palo Verde nuclear power plant. We will continue to honor Pacific Gas & Electric's Diablo Canyon settlement for now but ask them to submit alternatives to the settlement, including one similar to the proposed SONGS settlement, that would move Diablo Canyon prices to market rates by 2003 while guaranteeing recovery of PG&E's costs by 2005.

Fossil plants

For each utility's fossil-fueled (coal and natural gas plants) we will guarantee 100% recovery at a reduced rate of return of existing book value of plant spread out over 8 years ending in 2005. Existing book value may include associated fixed commitments (such as fuel oil pipelines) and necessary employee retraining or severance packages.

Fossil plants owned by the utility must bid their output into the Power exchange and the utilities are responsible for recovering all of their variable fuel; operating and maintenance costs; and any future plant-related capital expenditures from the energy prices they receive from the Exchange. The utilities are responsible for any shortfall, but also are allowed to keep any profits up to 150 basis points above the rate-of-return allowed for their distribution plant.

Some portion of each utility's fossil-fueled plants may be subject to Performance Based Ratemaking (PBR) but only if they are necessary for providing necessary ancillary services such as voltage or grid support needed to maintain system reliability.

Hydroelectric/Geothermal plants

These plants are presumed to be economic in a competitive electric marketplace. These plants will continue to be run by utility under either cost-of-service or PBR regulation, with any economic benefits that they produce flowed through to reduce CTC and related nuclear power and QF costs.

Qualifying Facilities (QFs)

The portion of existing QF contracts that are above-market (as determined by the Power Exchange price) will be flowed through to the CTC. The utilities will have an incentive to renegotiate above-market QF contracts by retaining 10% of any cost-savings achieved by restructuring the contract.

Regulatory Assets

Regulatory assets such as deferred taxes are also flowed through in CTC.

Reduced Rate-of-Return

All of the utilities' rate-based plant that is subject to CTC recovery will receive a reduced rate of return reflecting the lower risk associated with the utility being more assured of recovering its investment. We propose to allow the utility to receive its embedded cost of debt for the debt portion of its investment and a return of 90% of the embedded cost of debt on the equity portion of its investment. As discussed below, we will offer a slightly higher return on CTC recovery if the utility chooses to voluntarily divest itself of up to 50% of its fossil- fueled generating assets.

Market Valuation

When the utility divests itself of any generating asset (through sale or spin-off), the resulting gain-on-sale (based on actual sale price or stock price in case of a spin-off) will be used to offset the outstanding CTC balance.

MARKET POWER

Our analysis of the United Kingdom's restructuring of their electric industry, has identified the problem of market power where only a few firms control most of the market. Our order determines that a similar problem could exist in California, and recommends appropriate steps to prevent it.

First, it suggests the need for the separation of the existing investor-owned utilities into separate legal entities to handle transmission, distribution, and generation functions. This will help prevent vertical market power. Our order directs the utilities to respond to this issue within a reasonable time period.

Second, it recognizes that the existing investor-owned utilities control most of the generating capacity within California. Our order recognizes this problem of horizontal market power and provides incentives for the utilities to divest some of their generating assets. Our order strongly encourage utilities to voluntarily divest themselves of 50% of their fossil-based generating assets. In order to provide them with an economic incentive to do so, we propose increasing the rate-of- return on the CTC by 10 basis points for each 10% of fossil assets divested.

PUBLIC PURPOSE PROGRAMS

The order continues the public purpose programs currently funded through rates. These include such programs as Demand-Side Management/Energy Efficiency, Research & Development, Low Emission Vehicles, Women/Minority/Disabled Veterans Business Enterprises (WMDVBE) and low-income ratepayer assistance (CARE).

These programs would continue to be funded through a Public Goods Charge (PGC) that would be paid for by all energy consumers. Our order also requires that a portion of all energy sales be from renewable energy sources, and establishes a marketable trading mechanism to achieve that goal.

IMPLEMENTATION

Our next step is to receive feed-back from all interested parties on our proposal. As before we are committed to waiting 100 days to receive comments from the legislature, the Governor's office, the public, and interested parties.

There are a number of procedural and implementation issues that need to be resolved in order to move forward with our policy. Therefore within 45 days we will issue a road-map decision, similar to what we adopted for our telecommunications proceedings, that will lay out a procedural schedule. Third, we publicly announce that we will voluntarily conduct an environmental review of this project consistent with the guidelines of the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA). Finally, we recognize the importance of working with FERC and recognize the important role that they will play in carrying out our program. We reiterate our previous call that FERC work with us and other state PUCs in a spirit of "cooperative federalism" needed to make this program a success.